Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.054910 0.059512 0.064166 0.069216 0.074537 0.079967 0.085921
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.048042 0.054886 0.062050 0.070081 0.078806 0.087972 0.098300
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.042964 0.051479 0.060672 0.071271 0.083089 0.095802 0.110446
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.040384 0.050435 0.061578 0.074730 0.089712 0.106136 0.125390
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.035003 0.045707 0.057912 0.072673 0.089858 0.109059 0.131955
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.031279 0.042565 0.055765 0.072083 0.091445 0.113436 0.140042
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.028232 0.039962 0.054020 0.071750 0.093156 0.117828 0.148065
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026959 0.039422 0.054657 0.074185 0.098087 0.125953 0.160445
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.025280 0.038220 0.054357 0.075378 0.101459 0.132205 0.170627
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023685 0.036997 0.053925 0.076318 0.104457 0.137976 0.180238
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021657 0.035050 0.052439 0.075821 0.105594 0.141445 0.187058
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.020485 0.034180 0.052282 0.076957 0.108726 0.147318 0.196785
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018712 0.032396 0.050871 0.076465 0.109843 0.150806 0.203758
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017394 0.031174 0.050149 0.076824 0.112018 0.155605 0.212372
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016397 0.030347 0.049911 0.077784 0.114944 0.161340 0.222169
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016309 0.030871 0.051552 0.081287 0.121211 0.171333 0.237340
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014423 0.028516 0.049020 0.079017 0.119826 0.171581 0.240303
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013176 0.027067 0.047704 0.078343 0.120494 0.174407 0.246482
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012115 0.025837 0.046640 0.077965 0.121513 0.177655 0.253188
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011915 0.026013 0.047656 0.080529 0.126523 0.186103 0.266566
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011391 0.025604 0.047767 0.081785 0.129750 0.192243 0.277025
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010836 0.025104 0.047708 0.082775 0.132606 0.197905 0.286898
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009964 0.023983 0.046636 0.082247 0.133334 0.200751 0.293136